Opta has made Paris Saint-Germain the favourite ahead of their first-leg Champions League quarter-final against Liverpool at Parc des Princes.
According to the Opta supercomputer, PSG hold the stronger pre-match edge thanks to home advantage and their current form heading into the tie.
The model gives the French side a 53.2% chance of winning, compared with 24.3% for Liverpool, while the probability of a draw stands at 22.5%.
The match is scheduled for Wednesday night in a high-profile European meeting between two sides that have crossed paths repeatedly in recent seasons.